The campaign and associated famine illustrate the danger of coercive targets, unreliable reporting and
concentrated authority over production and distribution. The relative roles of policy and other conditions require careful historical sourcing. Power question: could those observing failure safely report it or change course? Avoidance question: what mechanisms could have allowed local knowledge, truthful reporting and emergency adjustment to override political targets? Lab proposal: model reporting incentives and procurement under production shortfalls. Keep disputed mortality estimates out of promotional copy.